State the assumptions
A result needs context: data, time period, costs and constraints.
LANGUAGES
OUR APPROACH
We treat a strategy as a complete operating system: its assumptions, decision rules, capital behavior and execution all belong in the same conversation.
FROM QUESTION TO SYSTEM
Start with a clear market hypothesis, an intended behavior and the conditions under which the idea could fail.
Examine data quality, cost assumptions and behavior across different periods and market environments.
Consider sizing, concentration and capital constraints at both strategy and portfolio level.
Translate the decision rules into executable logic with explicit settings and observable behavior.
Compare expected and observed behavior. Separate historical tests from live results and make the differences visible.
HOW WE THINK
A result needs context: data, time period, costs and constraints.
A strategy-level result does not explain aggregate portfolio risk.
Historical tests, simulations and live observations answer different questions.
Model uncertainty, execution costs and adverse conditions remain part of the assessment.
A backtest is a research instrument. A live system is an operational responsibility.
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